Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.007894 0.009261 0.010896 0.013026 0.015775 0.019271 0.024167
2025-07-13 0.006408 0.008134 0.010451 0.013904 0.019148 0.027245 0.041723
2025-07-20 0.005484 0.007322 0.009983 0.014344 0.021828 0.035388 0.065814
2025-07-27 0.004783 0.006620 0.009432 0.014382 0.023758 0.043265 0.097786
2025-08-03 0.004281 0.006101 0.009015 0.014471 0.025751 0.052523 0.147131
2025-08-10 0.003802 0.005533 0.008399 0.014012 0.026438 0.059307 0.203443
2025-08-17 0.003368 0.004975 0.007699 0.013219 0.026084 0.063177 0.259819
2025-08-24 0.003034 0.004541 0.007153 0.012609 0.025953 0.067796 0.339752
2025-08-31 0.002867 0.004370 0.007051 0.012896 0.028217 0.082748 0.586808
2025-09-07 0.002649 0.004085 0.006695 0.012550 0.028638 0.091356 0.871225
2025-09-14 0.002442 0.003799 0.006304 0.012047 0.028435 0.097354 1.235825
2025-09-21 0.002314 0.003644 0.006147 0.012065 0.029869 0.113571 2.398061
2025-09-28 0.002215 0.003547 0.006122 0.012473 0.033095 0.148213 9.703386
2025-10-05 0.002158 0.003521 0.006244 0.013312 0.038566 0.217457 1115.579109
2025-10-12 0.002070 0.003428 0.006209 0.013727 0.042801 0.299570 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001965 0.003290 0.006054 0.013763 0.045511 0.385603 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001874 0.003170 0.005925 0.013846 0.048616 0.511000 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001761 0.002996 0.005649 0.013415 0.048814 0.590062 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001639 0.002797 0.005295 0.012667 0.046875 0.607183 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001537 0.002632 0.005008 0.012091 0.045689 0.646951 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001491 0.002579 0.004981 0.012363 0.049845 0.955245 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001417 0.002462 0.004788 0.012036 0.050044 1.124589 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001341 0.002336 0.004563 0.011561 0.048999 1.223464 NaN